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Nick's avatar

Hi I'm not seeing AI cause the unbossing wave yet, but from where I sit definitely seeing signs of change....1) LLMs quietly taking on tasks that used to sit with managers e.g explaining documents, distilling strategies, drafting training plans. 2) Expectations of managers to do more and direct less,3) talk of entry level roles being replaced by AI employees, 4) and early conversation about using AI to set goals, and track activity. Implications are beginning to unfold. Nows the time to start reacting .

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Josh's avatar

Love the takeaway that companies should be intentional about org design - something that I've found to be more the exception than the rule.

That said, is there data suggesting that this is actually a trend? All the examples are tech companies who, for years, believed that they should hoover up as many talented people as possible. Are they really responding to macro market conditions or just returning to a sane structure after years of acqui-hiring, etc.?

What I'm more curious about is whether AI will cause an "unbossing" wave. I see a few micro dynamics that could push towards or against this.

1) Learning curve. A key role of managers is to onboard new employees and then develop them. Some of this content is organization specific, but some if general domain knowledge tied to the employee's role. A lot of the more technical learning can be done by LLMs and then refined by a manager. I've found this to be the case in a new role involving a type of project I'd never done before.

2) Managing consultants. In many companies, managers and individual contributors spend a lot of time managing consultants. As AI allows companies to insource part of what consultants do, it may shift time to individual contributors taking on this work and away from managers managing consultants.

3) Tech adoption. People outside of tech have no idea that the vast majority of people are terrible at using technology. It's possible that AI will become a new user interface that let's many employees use technology that they couldn't before (i.e. get the benefits of Excel without learning how to use it). If so, managers may become more important because they'll be needed to process and coordinate more output coming from individual contributors.

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